A COMPREHENSIVE METHODOLOGY FOR ASSESSING THE EFFICIENCY OF FINANCIAL INVESTMENTS AND CONDUCTING FORWARD-LOOKING ANALYSIS

Authors

  • Jumamurodov Tolibai Eldashbaevich

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21532834

Keywords:

financial investments, efficiency, forward-looking analysis, correlation-regression analysis, discounted cash flow, DCF, NPV, SWOT analysis, econometric forecasting, investment portfolio.

Abstract

This article examines a comprehensive methodology for assessing the efficiency of financial
investments and conducting forward-looking analysis. It establishes that, in national practice, various methods
for assessing the efficiency of financial investments are applied separately, which limits the possibility of
conducting an integrated and forward-looking analysis. As a result of the research, a comprehensive methodology
was developed that combines correlation-regression analysis, discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, SWOT
analysis, risk analysis, and econometric forecasting. The methodology provides a framework for forecasting
investment portfolio development through 2028 and may support investment decision-making and systematic
risk management.

Author Biography

Jumamurodov Tolibai Eldashbaevich

Independent Researcher, Tashkent State University of Economics

References

Damodaran, A. Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset. 3rd

ed. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2012. 992 p.

Bodie, Z., Kane, A., Marcus, A. J. Investments. 12th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education, 2021. 966 p.

Sharpe, W. F., Alexander, G. J., Bailey, J. V. Investments. 6th ed. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall,

962 p.

Gujarati, D. N., Porter, D. C. Basic Econometrics. 5th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2009. 922 p.

Ibodullaev, A. A. Development of the Organized Securities Market in Uzbekistan // Bulletin of Science and

Practice. 2021. Vol. 7, No. 3. P. 236–242. DOI: 10.33619/2414-2948/64/25.

Eshpulatov, D., Berdiev, G., Artemenkov, A. Modeling the Determinants of Stock Market Investment

Intention and Behavior Among Studying Adults: Evidence from University Students Using PLS-SEM //

International Journal of Financial Studies. 2025. Vol. 13, No. 3. Article 138. DOI: 10.3390/ijfs13030138.

Republic of Uzbekistan. Law No. ZRU-387 of 3 June 2015, On the Securities Market (New Edition)

[Electronic resource] // National Database of Legislation of the Republic of Uzbekistan. URL: https://lex.uz/

docs/2662541 (accessed: July 22, 2026).

IFRS Foundation. IFRS 9 Financial Instruments [Electronic resource]. London: IFRS Foundation, 2023.

URL: https://www.ifrs.org/issued-standards/list-of-standards/ifrs-9-financial-instruments/ (accessed: July

, 2026).

Republican Stock Exchange “Toshkent”. Official Market Data and Reports [Electronic resource]. URL:

https://uzse.uz/ (accessed: July 22, 2026).

National Statistics Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan. Macroeconomic Indicators [Electronic

resource]. URL: https://stat.uz/en/official-statistics/macro-indicators (accessed: July 22, 2026).

Downloads

Published

2026-07-01