STRUCTURAL SOURCES OF LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH IN UZBEKISTAN IN THE CONTEXT OF GLOBAL TRENDS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23608119Abstract
The article examines labour productivity trends and their sources globally and in Uzbekistan during 2022–2025, combining a comparative analysis of data from the ILO, OECD, UN, and national statistics with a shift-share decomposition. Global output per employed person grew by 1.7% in 2025, below the prepandemic average of 1.8%. In Uzbekistan, real labour productivity increased by 4.8% in 2024, but its growth slowed to 2.9% in 2025 as employment expanded by 4.7%. A decomposition across 19 sectors shows that growth was driven primarily by within-sector efficiency gains. The structural effect was negative (−50.6% of the total change), as 92% of employment growth occurred in the “other services” category, characterised by extremely low value added. Excluding this category, the structural effect becomes positive (+11.2%), potentially reflecting inconsistencies in statistical coverage. Recommendations for creating high-productivity jobs, developing human capital, and improving employment statistics are provided.Keywords
labour productivity, labour resource efficiency, shift-share analysis, structural change, withinsector productivity, informal employment, remittances, UzbekistanReferences
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